Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Donn		Fredrikstad 2

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.33	1.72
	3.2	4.75	1.67
	3.13	4.54	1.75
	3	4.2	1.8
	3.55	4.35	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.9)	4.43 ↓ (4.95)	1.74 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donn
27.9%

Draw
20.3%

Fredrikstad 2
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

18.6%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

17.5%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Donn's performance.

Fredrikstad 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donn than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Donn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Donn - Fredrikstad 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Donn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fredrikstad 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Donn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fredrikstad 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Donn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donn
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.08.23	Eik-Tønsberg - Donn	7:1 ✺
05.08.23	Donn - Halsen	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Mjøndalen 2 - Donn	5:1 ✺
24.07.23	Donn - Odd 2	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Donn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- Fredrikstad 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
14.08.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Sprint-Jeloy	1:2 ✺
07.08.23	Sandefjord 2 - Fredrikstad 2	2:3 ✺
31.07.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Odd 2	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Start 2 - Fredrikstad 2	7:0 ✺
25.06.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Donn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.06.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Donn	4:0

Donn - Fredrikstad 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide