Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Åssiden		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	2.02	4.4	2.61
	2.05	4.46	2.65	Watch
	2.05	4.33	2.5
	2.09	4.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.55)	4.32 ↑ (4.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åssiden
44.2%

Draw
21%

Sarpsborg 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

21.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

22.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åssiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Åssiden's performance.

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åssiden than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Åssiden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Åssiden - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Langset V. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Helgerud J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Svenningsen-Gronn S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Bahtijaragic I. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Åssiden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åssiden IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
30.09.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Åssiden	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Skeid 2 - Åssiden	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Åssiden - Gamle Oslo	3:2 ✺
09.09.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Åssiden	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Åssiden - Flint	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTWWL
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
30.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Åskollen	3:3 ✺
23.09.24	Flint - Sarpsborg 2	5:2 ✺
16.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Skeid 2	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Frigg Oslo - Sarpsborg 2	4:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Oppsal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Åssiden	3:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.10.21	Sarpsborg 2 - Åssiden	4:1

Åssiden - Sarpsborg 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide