Match Info

Division 1 - Round 8

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: GeoSalmo vollurinn (Thorlakshofn)


	Ægir		Leiknir Reykjavík

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.50	2.15
	2.8	3.55	2.1	Watch
	3.03	3.88	2.14
	2.79	4	2.17
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.91	3.62	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.44)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)	2.12 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ægir
32.2%

Draw
24.8%

Leiknir Reykjavík
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Leiknir Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiknir Reykjavík's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ægir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiknir Reykjavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Ægir - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ægir will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Leiknir R will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leiknir R: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 8. Gudbjartsson A. 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 16. Mani Jonsson M. 45. Ponjevic D. 20. Sanabria A. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 19. Stojanovic N. 22. Willard H.	1. Olafsson O. (G) 32. Beck E. O. 7. Burknason B. 15. Gunnarsson R. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 22. Jonsson T. 55. Kjartansson A. 4. Veselinovic M. 10. Veseli S. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
27. Panic M. 21. Sverrisson E. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 12. Thull G. (G) 14. Vidarsson B. 5. Viktorsson A.	33. Agustsson A. 8. Agustsson G. 12. Gorski J. (G) 20. Gunnarsson D. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 16. Petursson V. 9. Tjorvason J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Burknason B. ↓, Gunnarsson D. ↑,
46', Mani Jonsson M. ↓, Thorbergsson K. A. ↑,
59', Jonsson T. ↓, Hlifarsson K. S. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Gunnarsson D. ⚽, Hlifarsson K. S. (A),
71', Skoczylas P. L. ↓, Sverrisson E. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Halldorsson D. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Kjartansson A. ⚽, Gunnarsson D. (A),
79', 🟨,
79', Halldorsson D. ↓, Agustsson G. ↑,
79', Veseli S. ↓, Petursson V. ↑,
81', 🟨,
85', Willard H. ↓, Vidarsson B. ↑,
85', Gudjonsson S. O. ↓, Panic M. ↑,
88', Panic M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

Ægir is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Leiknir R has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ægir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).

Including home match between the teams, Ægir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Leiknir Reykjavík - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 1
31.05.26	Völsungur - Ægir	2:3 ✺
27.05.26	Ægir - IR Reykjavik	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Njarðvík - Ægir	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ægir - Vestri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	KA Akureyri - Ægir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWTLW
- Leiknir Reykjavík
Icelandic Division 1
31.05.26	Leiknir Reykjavík - HK Kópavogur	4:1 ✺
27.05.26	Fylkir - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Leiknir Reykjavík - Grindavik	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Leiknir Reykjavík - Afturelding	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
16.09.23	Ægir - Leiknir Reykjavík	0:5
12.07.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Ægir	3:2

Ægir - Leiknir Reykjavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide