The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ægir 15.9%
Draw 19.1%
Throttur Reykjavik 65%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
22%
58.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.9%
21.1%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Throttur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Throttur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Ægir - Throttur Reykjavik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 50. Gateau B. 8. Gudbjartsson A. 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 30. Gunnarsson B. 80. Joninuson B. 45. Ponjevic D. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 22. Willard H.
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 22. Kristjansson K. 10. Larusson S. 45. Sigurdsson V. 8. Stefansson B. (C) 11. Thordarson M. 25. Thorhallsson H. 4. Thorhallsson N.
Substitutes
12. Jallow I. (G) 16. Mani Jonsson M. 27. Panic M. 19. Stojanovic N. 21. Sverrisson E. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 14. Vidarsson B.
12. Birnuson A. (G) 7. Geirsson T. 27. Hinriksson O. 6. Kristjansson J. 9. Robertsson A. 3. Stefansson S. 20. Steinarsson V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Adeyemo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gateau B. ↓, Stojanovic N. ↑,
48', Dabetic S. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Larusson S. ⚽,
50', Gudbjartsson A. 🟨,
59', Joninuson B. 🟨,
62', Thordarson M. ↓, Robertsson A. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Robertsson A. ⚽,
71', Sigurdsson V. ↓, Hinriksson O. ↑,
74', Joninuson B. ↓, Thorbergsson K. A. ↑,
79', Hinriksson O. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
83', Gudjonsson S. O. ↓, Mani Jonsson M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
88', Gunnarsson B. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Ingason A. ⚽, Kristjansson K. (A),
90+3', Ingason A. ↓, Kristjansson J. ↑,
90+3', Blondal E. ↓, Steinarsson V. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Throttur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Throttur is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ægir won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ægir won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).