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Current Win Probability
Épila 61%
Draw 25.3%
Illueca 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
26.5%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
24.5%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Illueca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Épila - Illueca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Épila is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Illueca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Épila may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Illueca has had a series of home games.
In this match, Épila is the team to beat.
We predict that Épila will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épila won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Watch
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