Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 16Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
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Épila |
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La Almunia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.78 |
3.1 |
4.45 |
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1.94 |
3.08 |
4.03 |
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1.85 |
3 |
4.2 |
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1.8 |
3.04 |
4.61 |
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1.7 |
3.33 |
4.75 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.94) |
3.11 ↑ (3.05) |
4.41 ↑ (3.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Épila 50.1% | Draw 29.2% | La Almunia 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)La Almunia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Almunia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Épila - La Almunia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+6', 🟥,
- 90+11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)Épila is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).La Almunia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).La Almunia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Épila is seen as the favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Épila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Epila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17 | | | 25.01.25 | La Almunia - Épila | 2:1 | | 15.09.24 | Épila - La Almunia | 0:1 | | 12.03.23 | Épila - La Almunia | 0:1 | | 11.11.22 | La Almunia - Épila | 0:3 |
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