Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Étoile Carouge		Chiasso

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2.1	3.6	2.8
	2.09	3.55	2.85
	2.08	3.54	2.97
	2.11	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.09)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
43.3%

Draw
25.4%

Chiasso
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chiasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Étoile Carouge - Chiasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Étoile will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
05.11.22	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Cham - Étoile Carouge	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Étoile Carouge - Young Boys II	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTTL
- FC Chiasso
Swiss Promotion League
05.11.22	Chiasso - Bavois	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Brühl - Chiasso	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Chiasso - Zurich II	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Chiasso	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Chiasso - Luzern II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
04.06.22	Chiasso - Étoile Carouge	3:3
25.09.21	Étoile Carouge - Chiasso	0:3

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