Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	St. Gallen II		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.65
	4	4	1.66
	4.02	4.09	1.7
	4.03	4.1	1.71
	4.05	4.1	1.64
	3.95	4.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.77)	4.07 ↑ (4.03)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen II
22.9%

Draw
22.4%

Étoile Carouge
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.4%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

22.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen II than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dumrath B. (G) 20. Helg J. 5. Beeli M. (C) 19. Nuhu M. 3. Rouquette A. 6. Neziri B. 21. Lymann F. 22. Konietzke C. 10. Bytyqi E. 26. Canoski H. 23. Parente J.	18. Perez M. (G) 13. Zoukit N. 14. Hysenaj F. 23. Veloso M. 10. Caslei B. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 24. Kursner R. 9. Eleouet A. 6. El Jaouhari M. 4. Magnin M. 80. Oberli B.
Substitutes
9. Cicek S. 16. Correia S. 14. Konig P. 31. Link J. (G) 27. Rasmussen D. 4. Schweizer Y. 18. Vogt A.	7. Correia O. 26. Emulovs E. (G) 5. Mulliqi B. 27. Munishi H. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 19. Ombala L. 17. Vieira M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

St. Gallen II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Étoile is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Étoile is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Gallen II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Gallen II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Gallen II
Swiss Promotion League
11.11.23	Cham - St. Gallen II	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	St. Gallen II - Bavois	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bulle - St. Gallen II	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	St. Gallen II - Paradiso	1:2 ✺
18.10.23	Kriens - St. Gallen II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
11.11.23	Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Young Boys II - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Luzern II - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
18.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
19.04.23	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	3:0
15.10.22	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	3:2
24.04.16	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	3:0
03.10.15	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	2:1
21.03.15	Étoile Carouge - St. Gallen II	0:0

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