Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou)


	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou		Rail Club du Kadiogo

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.75	3.44	Watch
	2.97	2.58	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.82)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	3.01 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
35%

Draw
34.5%

Rail Club du Kadiogo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

33.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

33.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rail Club du Kadiogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rail Club du Kadiogo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Tarnagda A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Yao A. ⚽, Amani G. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Kadiogo	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
01.03.26	RC Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rahimo	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - CFFEB	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Salimata et Taséré - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTTW
- Rail Club du Kadiogo
Burkina Faso Premier League
28.02.26	AJEB - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rail Club du Kadiogo - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Rail Club du Kadiogo - AS Douanes	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vitesse - Rail Club du Kadiogo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Rail Club du Kadiogo - RC Bobo Dioulasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
16.11.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	4:0
10.05.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo	1:1
12.10.24	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:3
18.05.24	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:3
09.10.23	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:0
05.03.23	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:3
14.12.22	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo	1:2

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide