Match Info
Premier League - Round 20Date: 22 February 2026, SundayLocation: Stade de l'USFA (Ouagadougou)
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USFA |
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Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.51 |
3.41 |
7.38 |
Watch |
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1.61 |
3.2 |
5.97 |
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1.64 |
3.3 |
5.64 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.64) |
3.3 (3.3) |
6.33 ↑ (5.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
USFA 57.8% | Draw 27.7% | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou 14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USFA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (+1%)USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Kone V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFA won 1.USFA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Étoile Filante has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).USFA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, USFA is seen as the favorite.We predict that USFA will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, USFA won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.5:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, USFA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | USFA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Burkina Faso Premier League | | | 29.11.25 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA | 0:1 | | 06.10.24 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA | 0:0 | | 25.10.23 | USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:1 | | 19.03.23 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA | 1:1 | | 28.10.22 | USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:1 | | 27.03.22 | USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:0 | | 22.11.21 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA | 0:2 |
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