Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 28

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Öster

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.83
	3.7	3.5	1.83
	3.75	3.75	1.87	Watch
	3.96	3.89	1.87
	3.77	3.75	1.87	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.83
	3.63	3.68	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.39)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
24.8%

Draw
25.2%

Öster
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Örebro's form might have worsened.

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Öster's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Öster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Örebro - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Öster will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Öster: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 3. Kack O. 4. McCue E. 15. Bergmark N. 11. Kroon S. 14. Shagaxle H. 22. Shlimon L. 7. Barsoum E. 10. Backman V. 8. Saeid M. 99. Yasin A.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 4. Starke Hedlund S. 21. Bergquist L. 9. Soderberg N. 8. Jansson K. 7. Seger D. 19. Bergmark-Wiberg A. (C) 20. Aliev A. 18. Ljung D.
Substitutes
21. Alperud L. 28. Bark A. 6. Crona S. 12. Hansemon T. 19. Mokede M. 13. Strindholm D. (G) 20. Swartling C.	16. Adjei R. 25. Andersen M. 11. Bladh Pijaca H. 24. Johansson T. 32. Lundahl Persson C. (G) 10. Morfelt C. 23. Rodic V.
Coaches
Jardler C.	Foyston M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Bergquist L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Seger D. ⚽, Varmanen T. (A),
34', Backman V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Saeid M. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
60', Soderberg N. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
68', Yasin A. 🟨,
75', Bergmark-Wiberg A. 🟨,
80', Backman V. ↓, Hansemon T. ↑,
80', Shlimon L. ↓, Swartling C. ↑,
86', Aliev A. ↓, Johansson T. ↑,
86', Kack O. ↓, Bark A. ↑,
86', Barsoum E. ↓, Crona S. ↑,
90+10', Adolfsson M. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Öster will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örebro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
22.10.24	Degerfors - Örebro	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Örebro - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Oddevold - Örebro	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Örebro - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTWTW
- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
20.10.24	Öster - Varbergs BoIS	3:4 ✺
06.10.24	Oddevold - Öster	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Öster - Utsikten	5:2 ✺
23.09.24	Sundsvall - Öster	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Öster - Trelleborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
16.04.24	Öster - Örebro	2:0
07.10.23	Öster - Örebro	3:0
07.07.23	Örebro - Öster	1:1
16.08.22	Öster - Örebro	1:1
14.05.22	Örebro - Öster	2:1

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