Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 24

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örgryte		GAIS

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.78
	3.75	3.75	1.87	Watch
	4.19	3.72	1.85
	3.8	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.98	3.72	1.79	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	1.81 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Örgryte
23.8%

Draw
25.1%

GAIS
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

27.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Örgryte - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 2. Tagesson L. 3. Azulay J. 22. Haglind-Sangre M. (C) 19. Andreasson A. 18. Drott J. 14. Paulson D. 6. Holmen K. 15. Dahlqvist I. 26. Sylisufaj E. 11. Christoffersson N.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 18. Salihovic D. 4. Noren A. 22. Cardaklija A. 12. Frej R. 21. Henriksson A. 7. Aberg J. 25. Lindberg J. 9. Lundgren G. 11. Lindberg J. 10. Celik M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Barkroth N. 17. Dahlqvist H. 9. Lundberg V. 21. Nuh M. 30. Rahm A. (G) 28. Sadiku E. 24. Svensson W.	26. Amatkarijo C. 5. Andersen N. 24. Beckman F. 16. Holmstrom A. 33. Krantz E. (G) 3. Kruger V. 6. Wangberg A.
Coaches
Aubynn J.	Holmberg F.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 2.

Örgryte is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

GAIS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match GAIS is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
23.09.23	Jönköpings Södra - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Örgryte - Örebro	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Öster - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Örgryte - Östersund	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLT
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
23.09.23	Gefle - GAIS	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	GAIS - Helsingborg	4:1 ✺
02.09.23	Landskrona - GAIS	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	GAIS - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.23	Hässleholm - GAIS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.06.23	GAIS - Örgryte	0:1
29.09.21	GAIS - Örgryte	2:1
03.08.21	Örgryte - GAIS	1:0
28.09.20	Örgryte - GAIS	0:2
22.08.20	GAIS - Örgryte	0:0
24.09.19	GAIS - Örgryte	0:0
17.06.19	Örgryte - GAIS	1:0

Upcoming Matches