Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Österlen		Balkan

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	3.9
	1.87	3.75	3.6
	1.79	3.71	3.66
	1.81	3.83	3.64
	1.76	3.82	3.72
	1.87	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)	3.77 ↓ (4.13)	3.69 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Österlen
51%

Draw
24.3%

Balkan
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

22.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

21.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Österlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Balkan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Österlen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Österlen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balkan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Österlen - Balkan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Grant P. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Lind B. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Lind B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 1, Ibishi B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Österlen won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Österlen is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Österlen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Österlen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Österlen FF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
18.05.25	IFK Trelleborg - Österlen	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Österlen - Växjö Norra	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Österlen - Torn	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Karlshamn - Österlen	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Kristianstad - Österlen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWT
- FBK Balkan
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.05.25	Balkan - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Högaborgs - Balkan	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Balkan - Växjö Norra	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	IFK Trelleborg - Balkan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Balkan - Räppe GoIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
10.08.24	Balkan - Österlen	2:0
13.04.24	Österlen - Balkan	1:0
05.08.23	Österlen - Balkan	1:1
01.04.23	Balkan - Österlen	0:1
23.06.22	Balkan - Österlen	2:0
09.04.22	Österlen - Balkan	4:1

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