Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Relegation - Final

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Jamtkraft Arena (Ostersund)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, Sport Expressen, TV4 Play


	Östersund		Lunds

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5
	1.52	3.9	5.5
	1.56	4.17	5.45
	1.55	3.97	5.25
	1.59	3.96	5.42	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.58	4.05	5.39
	1.56	4.17	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	5.37 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
59.7%

Draw
23.1%

Lunds
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Östersund - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Benediktsson A. (G) 6. Hedenquist J. 23. Suljic A. (C) 18. Bonde P. 11. Musolitin M. 8. Erick Brendon 16. Sporrong A. 28. Adjoumani Y. 10. Marklund S. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 15. Hopcutt J.	32. Sarr L. (G) 2. Velickovic B. 6. Zetterberg E. (C) 4. Larsson K. 10. Tran E. 5. Andersson J. 7. Nilsson A. 13. Maarouf S. 77. Tipura S. 23. Thellsson C. W. I. 31. Ekblom V.
Substitutes
22. Bonnah A. 27. Ghanoum Z. 21. Kroon S. 24. Norrby H. 14. Ordonez A. 77. Origi A. (G) 7. Perry N.	1. Alexandersson A. (G) 17. Lindfors S. 12. Lindquist E. 3. Nicklasson L. 9. Olsson L. 19. Persson E. 15. Saganger G.
Coaches
Gabrielsson T.	Kontinen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ekblom V. (Pen),
4', Ekblom V. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Marklund S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Hopcutt J. ⚽,
31', Andersson J. 🟨,
42', Musolitin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 🟨,
62', Hopcutt J. ↓, Perry N. ↑,
62', Musolitin M. ↓, Bonnah A. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Ekblom V. ⚽,
71', Thellsson C. W. I. ↓, Olsson L. ↑,
76', Olsson L. 🟨,
80', Sporrong A. 🟨,
82', Erick Brendon 🟨,
83', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Kroon S. ↑,
84', Marklund S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
87', Velickovic B. ↓, Saganger G. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Kroon S. ⚽,
90+2', Erick Brendon ↓, Norrby H. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Recent matches Östersund is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lunds is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Östersund is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Östersund won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
21.11.24	Lunds - Östersund	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Östersund - Brage	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Örgryte - Östersund	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Utsikten - Östersund	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Östersund - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLW
- Lunds BK
Swedish Superettan
21.11.24	Lunds - Östersund	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.11.24	Lunds - Norrby	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Torslanda - Lunds	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Lunds - Ljungskile	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.11.24	Lunds - Östersund	0:2

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