Match Info

Superettan - Round 16

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Östersund

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.9
	1.77	3.75	3.8
	1.78	3.9	3.95	Watch
	1.81	4	4.2
	1.01	16.45	30.00	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.8	3.95	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)	5.64 ↑ (3.87)	7.66 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
66%

Draw
19.6%

Östersund
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örgryte's performance.

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Östersund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örgryte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Östersund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Örgryte - Östersund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Östersund (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 4 - 80%). Östersund (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 25. Renecke W. 24. Svensson W. 8. Mujanic A. 7. Vindehall C. 14. Paulson D. (C) 15. Dahlqvist I. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	30. Griffiths T. (G) 2. Enemark C. 23. Suljic A. (C) 18. Bonde P. 4. Johansson T. 10. Marklund S. 16. Sporrong A. 22. Bonnah A. 6. Edqvist A. 11. Hopcutt J. 7. Perry N.
Substitutes
28. Ahmed I. 19. Andreasson A. 3. Azulay J. 10. Barkroth N. 17. Hofvander W. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L.	25. Amatkarijo C. 5. Anyanwu S. 32. Croon M. (G) 27. Ghanoum Z. 15. Granstrom G. 9. Kirby J. 26. Morfelt C.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Livani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vindehall C. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Dahlqvist I. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
38', 3 - 0, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Enemark C. ↓, Morfelt C. ↑,
46', Edqvist A. ↓, Amatkarijo C. ↑,
46', Marklund S. ↓, Ghanoum Z. ↑,
61', Perry N. 🟨,
65', Paulson D. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
65', Svensson W. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Dahlqvist I. ⚽,
69', Perry N. ↓, Anyanwu S. ↑,
71', Vindehall C. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
71', Christoffersson N. ↓, Hofvander W. ↑,
76', Hopcutt J. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
83', Sana T. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
85', 5 - 0, Mujanic A. ⚽,
90+2', 6 - 0, Ahmed I. ⚽, Barkroth N. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Örgryte is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
19.07.25	Oddevold - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Örgryte - Helsingborg	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
15.06.25	Brage - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWLW
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
19.07.25	Östersund - Falkenberg	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Sundsvall - Östersund	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Utsikten - Östersund	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Östersund - Oddevold	1:3 ✺
01.06.25	Helsingborg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1
04.11.24	Örgryte - Östersund	2:1
20.04.24	Östersund - Örgryte	1:1
20.08.23	Örgryte - Östersund	2:2
11.06.23	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1
17.09.22	Örgryte - Östersund	0:1

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