Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 34

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Častkovce		Sered

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.1	1.63
	3.95	4.4	1.62
	3.74	4.59	1.57
	4.01	4.61	1.61	Watch
	4.59	4.33	1.54
	3.75	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (6.22)	4.42 ↑ (4.39)	1.59 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Častkovce
22.7%

Draw
20.4%

Sered
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.8%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

23.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Častkovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Častkovce's performance.

Sered has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sered might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Častkovce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sered than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sered could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Častkovce - Sered Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. liga).

Častkovce is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sered has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Sered has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sered is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Častkovce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Častkovce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OK Častkovce
Slovak 3 Liga West
24.05.25	Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom - Častkovce	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Častkovce - Rača Bratislava	3:1 ✺
14.05.25	Malacky - Častkovce	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Častkovce - Hamsik Academy	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Častkovce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45 TWWWT
- SKF Sered
Slovak 3 Liga West
24.05.25	Hamsik Academy - Sered	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Sered	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Beluša - Sered	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sered - Slovan Galanta	5:0 ✺
27.04.25	Podkonice - Sered	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
16.11.24	Sered - Častkovce	1:0
14.04.24	Sered - Častkovce	2:2
17.11.23	Častkovce - Sered	1:1
18.03.23	Častkovce - Sered	1:1
20.08.22	Sered - Častkovce	3:1

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