Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport


	Čelik Zenica		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	11.5	5	1.23
	8.5	5.23	1.25
	8.5	4.5	1.29
	10.25	5.65	1.21
	9.4	5.2	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.63 ↑ (7.85)	5.12 ↑ (4.33)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čelik Zenica
9.4%

Draw
17.7%

Zrinjski Mostar
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

20.9%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

20.5%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čelik Zenica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čelik Zenica than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Čelik Zenica won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Zrinjski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zrinjski is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Čelik Zenica won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Čelik Zenica won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Čelik Zenica
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
28.10.23	Jedinstvo Bihać - Čelik Zenica	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Čelik Zenica - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Čelik Zenica - TOŠK Tešanj	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Bratstvo Gračanica - Čelik Zenica	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Čelik Zenica - Tomislav	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTT
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
29.10.23	Posušje - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
22.10.23	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	3:0 ✺
09.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloga Doboj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
23.02.20	Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2
22.09.19	Zrinjski Mostar - Čelik Zenica	3:0
11.05.19	Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1
27.10.18	Zrinjski Mostar - Čelik Zenica	3:0
12.08.18	Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0
09.12.17	Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3
09.09.17	Zrinjski Mostar - Čelik Zenica	5:2

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