Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 10


	Zrinjski Mostar		Velež Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.80	9.25
	1.24	4.60	8.50
	1.29	5.02	10.88
	1.28	5	9.55	Watch
	1.27	4.95	9.65
	1.26	4.60	10.50
	1.27	4.60	9.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	4.8 ↑ (4.3)	9.62 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
71.6%

Draw
18.9%

Velež Mostar
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Velež Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Subaric Z. (G) 77. Abramovic K. 4. Barisic H. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M. 21. Grbic V. 17. Ilic A. 20. Ivancic A. 5. Lagumdzija D. 6. Savic I. 15. Stapic K.	1. Ribic F. (G) 5. Abdallah M. 77. Besagic A. 45. Djuliman K. 18. Duranovic S. 8. Hrkac A. (C) 11. Mesic A. 13. Omerovic A. 19. Rahimic M. 10. Salcin D. 80. Stojanovic N.
Substitutes
1. Bogdan M. (G) 42. Cavar M. 10. Cuic M. 40. Curdo B. 7. Gajzler N. 11. Juric T. 80. Ljukovac H. 24. Palic T. 8. Vidovic I.	6. Abdullah R. 47. Abidovic V. 55. Bajric A. 83. Besic M. 24. Dzevahiric F. 20. Halilovic D. 88. Ignatov L. 49. Lekovic B. 22. Mataradzic E. (G) 17. Shhade A. 92. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Rozman S.	Milanovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bilbija N. ⚽,
37', Lagumdzija D. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Abdallah M. 🟨,
56', Omerovic A. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Grbic V. ⚽,
70', Djuliman K. ↓, Halilovic D. ↑,
82', Ilic A. 🟨,
83', Duranovic S. ↓, Dzevahiric F. ↑,
83', Rahimic M. ↓, Bajric A. ↑,
88', Ljukovac H. 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zrinjski won 3.

Zrinjski has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Velež Mostar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, Zrinjski enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zrinjski has recorded 15 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 28:10 (averaging 1.4:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zrinjski against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:4 goals (averaging 1.5:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	17:5	12	21
9	Velez Mostar	8	2	1	5	6:14	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
12.09.26	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Zrinjski Mostar - BSK Banja Luka	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Velež Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
13.09.26	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Velež Mostar - Radnik Bijeljina	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Čelik Zenica - Velež Mostar	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Velež Mostar - Sloga Doboj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
26.05.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	3:0
Bosnian Cup
13.05.26	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1
06.05.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	1:0
Bosnian Premier League
03.04.26	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1
07.12.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	1:1
27.09.25	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3
03.05.25	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1

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