Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion na Banovom brdu (Belgrade)

Referee: Markovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Germany	Laola1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Čukarički		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.42	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.47	3.45	2.8
	2.35	3.19	3.08	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	2.71 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čukarički
38.1%

Draw
27.8%

OFK Beograd
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Čukarički's form might have worsened.

OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OFK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Čukarički, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OFK Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Čukarički - OFK Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Carapic V. (G) 73. Miletic N. 23. Maiga I. 26. Djokovic M. 3. Sehovic Z. 14. Sissoko S. 5. Docic M. (C) 7. Mijovic L. 10. Miladinovic U. 20. Cisse A. 25. Durmishaj F.	31. Draskic V. (G) 77. Gobeljic M. 26. Fall M. 45. Vukicevic A. (C) 24. Stojanovic U. 14. Momcilovic M. 27. Aderoju H. 6. Pena S. 11. De Barr T. 20. Sljivic J. 42. Silue D. Y.
Substitutes
16. Andjelic S. 77. Bajovic A. 21. Grujic N. 55. Ilic A. 72. Nikolic U. 19. Ouedraogo A. 50. Pavkov M. 86. Radosavljevic V. 88. Stojkovic V. (G) 4. Tomovic N. 6. Zuric V.	25. Dembele I. 2. Despotovski S. 9. Hoard E. 16. Ivanovic L. 10. Markovic S. 28. Mrvaljevic J. 19. Rankovic D. 97. Stojisic N. (G) 18. Toure H. 7. Wouter T.
Coaches
Jaksic M.	Damjanovic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Cisse A. 🟨,
20', Aderoju H. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Miladinovic U. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sljivic J. ↓, Rankovic D. ↑,
55', Mijovic L. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
62', Aderoju H. ↓, Wouter T. ↑,
62', Momcilovic M. ↓, Hoard E. ↑,
63', Miladinovic U. 🟨,
63', Fall M. 🟨,
68', Durmishaj F. ↓, Nikolic U. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Nikolic U. ⚽, Miladinovic U. (A),
79', Stojanovic U. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
79', Gobeljic M. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
85', Cisse A. ↓, Pavkov M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 1.

Čukarički is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, OFK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Čukarički won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

Cukaricki: 1.08% OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	12:18	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	10	2	3	5	13:21	-8	9

Last Results with these Odds

Čukarički - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.51%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Čukarički
Serbian Superliga
09.08.26	Mladost Lučani - Čukarički	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Čukarički - Radnički 1923	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Radnički Niš - Čukarički	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Čukarički - IMT Novi Beograd	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Čukarički	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWLW
- OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga
09.08.26	OFK Beograd - Železničar Pančevo	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	OFK Beograd - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.07.26	OFK Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Vojvodina - OFK Beograd	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
22.04.26	OFK Beograd - Čukarički	0:0
09.02.26	OFK Beograd - Čukarički	2:0
29.08.25	Čukarički - OFK Beograd	1:3
15.12.24	Čukarički - OFK Beograd	0:1
09.08.24	OFK Beograd - Čukarički	1:2
28.11.15	OFK Beograd - Čukarički	0:3
08.08.15	Čukarički - OFK Beograd	1:0

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