Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	İstanbul Başakşehir		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.63
	2.45	3.5	2.75
	2.54	3.52	2.75
	2.44	3.43	2.75	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	2.5	3.53	2.84
	2.5	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.03)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	2.82 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
39.5%

Draw
26.9%

Rapid Wien
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	16.7%	20.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Rapid will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Dilmen D. (G) 4. Ergun O. 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 8. Kemen O. 13. Crespo M. 2. Ozdemir B. 25. Figueiredo J. 23. Turuc D. (C) 9. Piatek K. 7. Gurler S.	45. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux Yao S. 23. Auer J. 18. Seidl M. (C) 8. Grgic L. 17. Sangare M. 21. Schaub L. 9. Burgstaller G. 7. Beljo D.
Substitutes
1. Babacan V. (G) 91. Davidson 15. Gureler H. 75. Kaplan E. 28. Karaal E. M. 70. Kavraz B. 11. Keny P. P. 6. Lima L. 10. Ozcan B. 14. Pelkas D. 16. Sengezer M. (G)	27. Bischof N. 3. Bockle B. 16. Borkeeiet T. 25. Gartler P. (G) 20. Hofmann M. 24. Kaygin D. 5. Kerschbaum R. 10. Lang C. 50. Orgler L. (G) 28. Oswald M. 48. Wurmbrand N.
Coaches
Atan C.	Kulovits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', Raux Yao S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Schaub L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Gurler S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Schaub L. ⚽, Burgstaller G. (A),
59', Burgstaller G. 🟨,
62', Crespo M. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
62', Figueiredo J. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
66', Seidl M. 🟨,
75', Turuc D. ↓, Lima L. ↑,
75', Gurler S. ↓, Davidson ↑,
82', Schaub L. ↓, Hofmann M. ↑,
82', Beljo D. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
83', Ozdemir B. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
87', Sangare M. ↓, Borkeeiet T. ↑,
90+5', Burgstaller G. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Başakşehir will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Başakşehir: Sahiner O. (Muscle Injury) Szysz P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rapid: Druijf F. (Knee Injury) Gale T. (Injury) Scholler J. M. (Injury) Seydi I. (Injury) Zimmermann B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rapid: Dursun F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
27.09.24	Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bodrumspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - St Patricks Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.24	Rapid Wien - LASK Linz	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.09.24	Donaufeld Wien - Rapid Wien	1:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
22.09.24	Rapid Wien - Austria Wien	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTW

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