Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 3

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)


	İstanbulspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.25	1.3	Watch
	9.2	6.1	1.26
	9.12	5.79	1.32
	8	5	1.25
	9.4	5.95	1.27	Watch
	9.8	5.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.17 ↑ (5.85)	5.58 ↑ (4.1)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
10.2%

Draw
16.8%

Galatasaray
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22.5%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbulspor's form might have worsened.

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galatasaray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.9%	0%	92.1%

İstanbulspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.54% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen D. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 4. Yesil M. 23. Erdogan O. 66. Yasar A. 18. Ndao A. 34. Loshaj F. 10. Rroca E. (C) 27. Ethemi V. 12. Mamadou M. 88. Traore D.	1. Muslera F. (C) 93. Boey S. 23. Ayhan K. 42. Bardakci A. 3. Angelino 34. Torreira L. 8. Demirbay K. 20. Tete 10. Mertens D. 7. Akturkoglu K. 9. Icardi M.
Substitutes
59. Arda A. (G) 19. Gultekin E. 11. Koylu K. 99. Laurentino J. 5. Ozturk E. 7. Sambissa D. 24. Sarikaya M. 15. Tekke M. 8. Temel V. 9. Yilmaz I.	81. Akman H. 94. Bakambu C. 72. Bulbul A. T. 21. Dervisoglu H. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 25. Nelsson V. 27. Oliveira S. 58. Yesilyurt A. 53. Yilmaz B. 14. Zaha W.

Preview

Postponed due to european competitions.

Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Galatasaray in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

İstanbulspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
22.09.23	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	İstanbulspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	İstanbulspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Konyaspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTT
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
23.09.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Galatasaray - Copenhagen	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.09.23	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	4:2 ✺
02.09.23	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.08.23	Galatasaray - Molde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
16.05.23	İstanbulspor - Galatasaray	0:2
Club Friendly
04.03.23	İstanbulspor - Galatasaray	0:6
Turkish Super League
25.12.22	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	2:1
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	2:1

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