Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7
	1.47	4.3	5.4
	1.45	3.8	5
	1.46	4.82	5.13	Watch
	1.41	4.33	6.27	Watch
	1.47	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	4.38 ↓ (4.75)	5.7 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
63.4%

Draw
20.7%

Pelikan Łowicz
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

18.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ŁKS Łomża, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mich H. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Basiuk P. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Czarnowski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Hajduk K. 🟥,
88', 2 - 2, Sauczek C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS Łomża won 2.

ŁKS Łomża is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pelikan has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pelikan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ŁKS Łomża is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches ŁKS Łomża won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS Łomża won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wisła Płock II	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	ŁKS Łomża - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLTW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.03.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Elana Toruń - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.11.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Victoria Sulejówek	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.08.24	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	0:1
11.05.24	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	1:5
14.10.23	ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2
16.06.19	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	2:1
03.11.18	ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
22.04.18	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	0:1
09.09.17	ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz	3:2

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