Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Legia II

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	2.72	3.54	2.11
	2.72	3.72	2.19	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.15
	2.76	3.56	2.18	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
33.7%

Draw
25.8%

Legia II
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

25.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

24.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ŁKS Łomża - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Karmanski F. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 3.

Łomża is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Legia II is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Legia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Legia II has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Łomża won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Last Results with these Odds

Legia II - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWW
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Legia II - Troszyn	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.25	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	0:0
25.05.25	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	0:1
02.11.24	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	2:1
04.05.24	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:1
07.10.23	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	2:1
28.04.19	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	3:0
26.09.18	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	0:4

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