Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		ŁKS Łódź II

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.80	3.25
	1.78	3.7	3.4
	1.89	3.94	3.03
	1.9	4.09	3.11	Watch
	1.87	3.9	3
	1.9	3.91	3.34	Watch
	1.74	3.53	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	3.26 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
48.9%

Draw
23.5%

ŁKS Łódź II
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ŁKS Łódź II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Charkiewicz D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Nawotka T. (Own goal),
37', 1 - 2, Lesniewski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
59', 1 - 3, Prusinski K. ⚽,
61', 1 - 4, Lesniewski J. ⚽,
63', 1 - 5, Rzemyszkiewicz W. ⚽,
70', 1 - 6, Prusinski K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 6, Troc A. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 7, Krzymowski P. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th and 14th).

Świt has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

ŁKS Łódź II is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

ŁKS Łódź II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, ŁKS Łódź II has had a run of games away from home.

Świt carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Świt has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Świt against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Swit Mazowiecki	14	8	2	4	28:20	8	26
14	LKS Lodz II	14	4	3	7	24:28	-4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.26	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:4 ✺
25.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	4:0 ✺
18.09.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL
- ŁKS Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łódź II	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - ŁKS Łomża	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.05.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
15.10.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2
18.06.22	ŁKS Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	6:1
20.11.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	0:0

Upcoming Matches