Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Weszło

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.45
	2.30	3.40	2.52
	2.26	3.44	2.64
	2.53	3.59	2.39	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.60
	2.34	3.74	2.60	Watch
	2.07	3.41	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.07)	3.5 ↑ (3.41)	2.57 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
39.3%

Draw
25.7%

Weszło
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Weszło has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weszło than the current prediction. (-4%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In recent matches, Świt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Weszło is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Świt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Świt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Weszlo	14	10	2	2	30:16	14	32
3	Swit Mazowiecki	14	8	2	4	28:20	8	26

Last Results with these Odds

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.72%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT
- KTS Weszło
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Weszło	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Weszło - Mławianka Mława	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW

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