Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu (Şanliurfa)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)


	Şanlıurfaspor		Eyüpspor

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.92	3.68	3.97
	1.89	3.68	3.97
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.6	3.85
	1.86	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (4.23)	3.49 ↓ (3.95)	3.82 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şanlıurfaspor
49.4%

Draw
26.4%

Eyüpspor
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.8%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şanlıurfaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Şanlıurfaspor's performance.

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eyüpspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-29.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Şanlıurfaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+35%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eyüpspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Şanlıurfaspor - Eyüpspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Şanlıurfaspor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Eyüpspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Şanlıurfaspor: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Uysal A. (G) 61. Karadeniz S. 3. Coelho D. 27. Yigit M. 93. Gok B. 14. Cakmak I. 6. Kabak A. 33. Dening E. 82. Begic A. 30. Harris K. 19. Paixao M.	1. Ozer B. (G) 7. Ucar M. 57. Kabasakal M. 4. Luccas Claro 19. Bayram O. 88. Erkin C. 6. Yalcin R. 28. Taskin I. 40. Ampem P. O. 34. Thuram 77. Seslar S.
Substitutes
31. Aldair 8. Bisi C. 32. Canbeyli C. 11. Ekincier B. 40. Gultekin Y. 10. Kiprit M. 80. Kurt U. 16. Landel G. 1. Tokotaev E. (G) 24. Unlu T.	92. Anteplioglu K. (G) 99. Bruno G. 16. Fredy 14. Kacar T. 98. Kumlu B. 20. Niyaz R. 5. Ozer F. 11. Regattin A. 13. Tetik B. (G) 91. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Arslan C.	Yavas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Erkin C. ⚽, Thuram (A),
41', 0 - 2, Erkin C. ⚽, Ampem P. O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kabak A. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
46', Dening E. ↓, Aldair ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Paixao M. (Pen),
59', Taskin I. ↓, Fredy ↑,
59', Thuram ↓, Bruno G. ↑,
60', Bayram O. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
70', Seslar S. ↓, Regattin A. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Bruno G. ⚽,
75', Begic A. ↓, Landel G. ↑,
78', Erkin C. ↓, Kumlu B. ↑,
78', Erkin C. 🟨,
82', Cakmak I. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
82', Harris K. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
85', Coelho D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Eyüpspor is Qualified for Super Lig

Şanlıurfaspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Eyüpspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eyüpspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Şanlıurfaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
21.04.24	Bodrumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Umraniyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1 ✺
02.04.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Giresunspor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWW
- Eyüpspor
Turkish First League
20.04.24	Eyüpspor - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Manisa FK - Eyüpspor	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Eyüpspor - Altay	4:1 ✺
03.04.24	Adanaspor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Bandırmaspor - Eyüpspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.12.23	Eyüpspor - Şanlıurfaspor	4:0

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