Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Westfalen - Round 14

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	09 Dortmund		Erkenschwick

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	3.7
	1.69	4.05	3.81
	1.7	4.2	3.82
	1.75	4	3.73
	1.72	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	4.05 ↑ (3.8)	3.75 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

09 Dortmund
53.2%

Draw
22.5%

Erkenschwick
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

09 Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 09 Dortmund's performance.

Erkenschwick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 09 Dortmund than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 09 Dortmund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erkenschwick than the current prediction. (+4%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Tshimanga D. T. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Santo J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Nebi A. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Nebi A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 09 Dortmund won 2.

09 Dortmund is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Erkenschwick is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

09 Dortmund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently 09 Dortmund have a series of guest games.

09 Dortmund will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches 09 Dortmund won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:21 (average 1.5:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams 09 Dortmund won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASC 09 Dortmund
German Oberliga Westfalen
02.11.24	Preußen Münster 2 - 09 Dortmund	2:3 ✺
20.10.24	Schermbeck 2020 - 09 Dortmund	5:1 ✺
06.10.24	Vreden - 09 Dortmund	0:3 ✺
29.09.24	09 Dortmund - Ennepetal	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Siegen - 09 Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW
- SpVgg Erkenschwick
German Oberliga Westfalen
03.11.24	Erkenschwick - SG Wattenscheid	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Finnentrop Bamenohl - Erkenschwick	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Erkenschwick - Victoria Clarholz	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Bövinghausen - Erkenschwick	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Erkenschwick - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
03.09.23	09 Dortmund - Erkenschwick	0:1
Club Friendly
25.07.21	Erkenschwick - 09 Dortmund	4:0
German Oberliga Westfalen
05.03.17	09 Dortmund - Erkenschwick	5:0
04.09.16	Erkenschwick - 09 Dortmund	3:4
21.04.16	09 Dortmund - Erkenschwick	0:1
27.09.15	Erkenschwick - 09 Dortmund	5:0
26.04.15	Erkenschwick - 09 Dortmund	5:1

09 Dortmund - Erkenschwick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide