Match Info

3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.6
	2.15	3.5	3.39
	9.13	6.18	1.24	Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.72	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (1.57)	4.13 ↑ (3.95)	3.48 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
38.1%

Draw
28.3%

Viktoria Köln
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 1860 München's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 1860 München, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	27.8%	38.9%

1860 München - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Köln: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Viktoria Köln (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Viktoria Köln (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - 1860 München (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Viktoria Köln (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Vollath R. (G) 29. Rittmuller M. 3. Voet S. 25. Dulic S. 27. Pfeifer M. 30. Wolfram M. 13. Christiansen M. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 7. Niederlechner F. 31. Volland K.	1. Dudu (G) 2. Dietz L. 15. Greger C. 18. Kloss T. 7. Handle S. 5. Munst L. 6. Eisenhuth T. 34. Ronstadt F. 10. Otto D. 8. Engelhardt F. 9. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
40. Bachmann P. (G) 36. Deniz T. 19. Erdogan E. 22. Haugen S. 34. Hobsch P. 26. Maier P. 8. Philipp D. 37. Schifferl R. 9. Steinkotter J.	3. Agyekum J. 38. Carella S. 14. Ott R. 27. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 11. Velasco R. 21. Wolf L. M. 23. Zank B.
Coaches
Glockner P.	Wilhelm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lobinger L. (Pen),
8', 0 - 2, Otto D. ⚽, Kloss T. (A),
22', Dietz L. 🟨,
24', Volland K. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
36', Dietz L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Christiansen M. ⚽, Rittmuller M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Otto D. ↓, Agyekum J. ↑,
46', Lippmann C. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
46', Ronstadt F. ↓, Sponsel M. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Hobsch P. ⚽, Pfeifer M. (A),
59', Engelhardt F. ↓, Wolf L. M. ↑,
65', Lobinger L. ↓, Zank B. ↑,
69', Christiansen M. ↓, Deniz T. ↑,
85', Sponsel M. 🟨,
87', Wolfram M. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
90', Philipp D. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 2.

Recent form of 1860 München has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Viktoria Köln is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Viktoria Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, 1860 München is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	1860 München - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
17.09.25	Hansa Rostock - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	1860 München - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	1860 München - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.25	Viktoria Köln - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Viktoria Köln - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:2
25.08.24	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	1:3
06.04.24	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	3:1
28.10.23	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	2:1
04.03.23	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	0:1
27.08.22	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:1
30.01.22	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	0:1

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