The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 54.6%
Draw 25.4%
1860 München 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
26.7%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
26.1%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzgebirge Aue's performance.
1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 1860 München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzgebirge Aue that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+25.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1860 München could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - 1860 München (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
1860 München will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1860 München will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Majetschak E. 25. Zobel T. 23. Barylla A. 20. Fabisch J. 11. Uhlmann E. 8. Clausen M. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 39. Schmid M.
21. Dahne T. (G) 29. Rittmuller M. 3. Voet S. 25. Dulic S. 27. Pfeifer M. 30. Wolfram M. 36. Deniz T. 13. Christiansen M. 31. Volland K. 7. Niederlechner F. (C) 9. Steinkotter J.
Substitutes
9. Bornschein R. 24. Ehlers J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.
40. Bachmann P. (G) 19. Erdogan E. 22. Haugen S. 34. Hobsch P. 5. Jacobsen T. 41. Lippmann C. 26. Maier P. 8. Philipp D. 37. Schifferl R.
Coaches
Hartel J.
Glockner P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽, Uhlmann E. (A),
35', Fabisch J. 🟨,
42', Deniz T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Steinkotter J. ↓, Lippmann C. ↑,
53', Fallmann P. 🟨,
59', Niederlechner F. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
59', Wolfram M. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
61', Clausen M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
69', Christiansen M. ↓, Jacobsen T. ↑,
73', Guttau J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
73', Schmid M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Uhlmann E. ⚽, Majetschak E. (A),
84', Deniz T. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
84', Pfeifer M. 🟨,
89', Uhlmann E. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
Recent form of Aue has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, 1860 München has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
1860 München will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aue won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Croatia
Germany
Switzerland
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Mannel M. (G) 
Fallmann P. 
Fabisch J. 
Voet S. 
Simnica L. 
Tashchy B. 
Erdogan E. 
Haugen S. 
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