Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga South - Round 25

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	1860 München U19		Mainz U19

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.9	1.8
	3.47	4.2	1.81
	3.1	3.9	1.8
	3.33	4.04	1.88
	2.95	4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.78)	4.01 ↑ (3.77)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München U19
28.3%

Draw
22.6%

Mainz U19
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

24.1%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Mainz U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München U19 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 1860 München U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz U19 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

1860 München U19 - Mainz U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
27.04.24	Stuttgart U19 - 1860 München U19	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	1860 München U19 - Kaiserslautern U19	3:4 ✺
14.04.24	Sandhausen U19 - 1860 München U19	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	1860 München U19 - Greuther Fürth U19	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Augsburg U19 - 1860 München U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTL
- Mainz U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
28.04.24	Mainz U19 - Karlsruher U19	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Heidenheim U19 - Mainz U19	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Mainz U19 - Eintracht Frankfurt U19	2:5 ✺
06.04.24	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	2:3 ✺
German DFB Junioren Pokal
17.03.24	Mainz U19 - Hoffenheim U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga South
25.11.23	Mainz U19 - 1860 München U19	2:2
19.02.23	Mainz U19 - 1860 München U19	1:1
04.12.16	1860 München U19 - Mainz U19	0:2

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