Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga South - Round 21

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Bayern U19		Mainz U19

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	2.87
	2.06	4.07	2.88
	2.07	4.07	2.87
	1.95	3.75	2.9
	1.99	3.86	2.99
	2.01	3.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.89 ↓ (4)	2.91 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern U19
45.4%

Draw
23.4%

Mainz U19
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

22.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Mainz U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern U19 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz U19 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Bayern U19 - Mainz U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern U19 won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Bayern U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bayern U19 won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayern U19 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern U19
UEFA Youth League
12.03.24	Bayern U19 - Olympiacos Piraeus U19	1:3 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
08.03.24	Bayern U19 - Nurnberg U19	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	1860 München U19 - Bayern U19	3:2 ✺
UEFA Youth League
28.02.24	Bayern U19 - Feyenoord U19	3:2 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
24.02.24	Bayern U19 - Hoffenheim U19	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Mainz U19
German DFB Junioren Pokal
17.03.24	Mainz U19 - Hoffenheim U19	1:2 ✺
UEFA Youth League
13.03.24	Mainz U19 - Porto U19	1:4 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
09.03.24	Stuttgart U19 - Mainz U19	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Mainz U19 - Augsburg U19	2:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
27.02.24	Mainz U19 - Manchester City U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga South
21.10.23	Mainz U19 - Bayern U19	1:2
12.02.23	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	2:0
04.12.21	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	7:2
24.10.20	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	0:4
21.08.19	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	1:1
11.05.19	Bayern U19 - Mainz U19	0:0
02.12.18	Mainz U19 - Bayern U19	2:2

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