Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 31

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	24 Erzincanspor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.25
	1.33	4.45	8.3
	1.34	4.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	4.39 ↓ (4.5)	7.72 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

24 Erzincanspor
67.7%

Draw
20.6%

Derince Belediyespor
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

24 Erzincanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Derince Belediyespor aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

24 Erzincanspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Derince Belediyespor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

24 Erzincanspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match 24 Erzincanspor is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 24 Erzincanspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.03.24	24 Erzincanspor - Iskenderunspor	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	24 Erzincanspor - Düzcespor	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Sarıyer - 24 Erzincanspor	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	24 Erzincanspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.03.24	Derince Belediyespor - Etimesgut	3:1 ✺
06.03.24	Arnavutköy - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Derince Belediyespor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Derince Belediyespor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1

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