The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karaman Belediyespor 55.1%
Draw 22.9%
Derince Belediyespor 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.6%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
29.1%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karaman Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karaman Belediyespor's performance.
Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derince Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karaman Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derince Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Karaman is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Derince Belediyespor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Derince Belediyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Karaman will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Karaman won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).
Including matches at home between the teams Karaman won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0