Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	24 Erzincanspor		Karaman Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	5.15
	1.72	3.31	4.93
	1.68	3.44	4.72
	1.9	3.33	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	4.58 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

24 Erzincanspor
53.4%

Draw
26.5%

Karaman Belediyespor
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

22.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

24 Erzincanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 24 Erzincanspor's performance.

Karaman Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karaman Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 24 Erzincanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karaman Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

24 Erzincanspor - Karaman Belediyespor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Karaman (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karaman (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Tankul I. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Dereli A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

24 Erzincanspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karaman's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karaman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

24 Erzincanspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 24 Erzincanspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, 24 Erzincanspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
21.09.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	24 Erzincanspor - Batman Petrolspor	0:4 ✺
07.09.25	Altınordu - 24 Erzincanspor	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	24 Erzincanspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Ankaragücü - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTT
- Karaman Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
21.09.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Kahramanmaraşspor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:0 ET ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
13.09.25	Erbaaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Karaman Belediyespor - İnegölspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.09.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Suvermez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
03.04.24	24 Erzincanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	5:0
19.11.23	Karaman Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0

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