Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 21

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Facundo De León Fossatti (Villa Hayes) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	15:00	Tigo Sports+
Usa	15:00	SportsEngine Play


	3 de Noviembre		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.75	2.92	2.38
	2.61	2.99	2.54
	2.89	3.11	2.49	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.40
	2.75	3.25	2.51
	2.75	2.95	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)	3.02 ↑ (2.98)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Noviembre
33%

Draw
29.9%

Independiente Asuncion
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Noviembre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Noviembre than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

3 de Noviembre - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 4 - 0, ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, ⚽,
89', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7).

3 de Noviembre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente FBC is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 3 de Noviembre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Independiente FBC	30	11	10	9	46:41	5	43
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	38:46	-8	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club 3 de Noviembre
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.08.26	Tacuary - 3 de Noviembre	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Atlético Tembetary	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	12 de Junio - 3 de Noviembre	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Encarnación - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLL
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.08.26	Independiente Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
11.08.26	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.08.26	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - 3 de Noviembre	2:0

3 de Noviembre - Independiente Asuncion