Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 17

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sol de América		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	1.98	3.20	3.35
	1.74	3.70	3.87
	2.17	3.18	3.39	Watch
	1.71	3.55	3.80
	1.93	3.68	3.58
	1.92	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)	3.41 ↑ (3.26)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América
47.7%

Draw
26.7%

Independiente Asuncion
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Villagra C. ⚽,
42', Manzur G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Dietze S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent performances by Sol de América have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente FBC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Independiente FBC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sol de América is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33:25	8	41
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
25.07.26	Tacuary - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sol de América - Benjamín Aceval	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Sol de América - 12 de Junio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTTW
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion	3:2 ✺
13.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Independiente Asuncion	2:2 ✺
30.06.26	Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.04.26	Independiente Asuncion - Sol de América	1:0
19.07.25	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	0:2
12.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sol de América	2:0
03.09.23	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	1:3
29.05.23	Independiente Asuncion - Sol de América	2:2

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