Match Info

Brasileiro A2 Women - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	3B da Amazônia		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.69	11.88
	1.22	5.22	12.13	Watch
	1.18	5.5	13
	1.13	6.3	14
	1.41	4.2	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.38 ↑ (4.2)	11.45 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3B da Amazônia
74.9%

Draw
17.1%

Vila Nova
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

21.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

20.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3B da Amazônia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 3B da Amazônia's performance.

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3B da Amazônia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 3B da Amazônia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

3B da Amazônia - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In recent matches, 3B da Amazônia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vila Nova has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

3B da Amazônia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, 3B da Amazônia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 3B da Amazônia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, 3B da Amazônia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AE 3B da Amazônia
Brasileiro A2 Women
20.05.26	3B da Amazônia - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
13.05.26	Taubaté - 3B da Amazônia	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
02.05.26	3B da Amazônia - Atlético Piauiense	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Itabirito - 3B da Amazônia	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	3B da Amazônia - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWWLT
- Vila Nova FC Women
Copa do Brasil Women
13.05.26	Minas Brasília - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
09.05.26	Paysandu - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Vila Nova - Doce Mel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vila Nova - Itabirito	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
07.05.23	3B da Amazônia - Vila Nova	2:1

3B da Amazônia - Vila Nova