Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	3K		Naivas

	1	X	2
	3.89	3.61	1.81	Watch
	2.05	2.7	3.75
	2.05	2.89	3.73
	2.05	2.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.02)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.26 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3K
38.2%

Draw
32.4%

Naivas
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3K has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 3K's form might have worsened.

Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naivas's recent form is better than expected.

3K - Naivas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Naivas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

3K is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	3K FC	36	22	7	7	58:25	33	73
6	Naivas FC	36	17	9	10	45:27	18	60

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 3K FC
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	Kabati - 3K	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	3K - Vihiga United	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Equity Bank - 3K	2:1 ✺
04.12.25	3K - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	3K - Kisumu All-Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
20.12.25	Naivas - Talanta	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Naivas - Nzoia United	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

3K - Naivas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide