Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PIAUIENSE - ROUND 10

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	4 de Julho		Comercial PI

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.48	3.68	6.19
	1.52	3.76	6.15
	1.53	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	5.91 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

4 de Julho
59.7%

Draw
24.9%

Comercial PI
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

16.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Comercial PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 4 de Julho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial PI than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial PI could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Piauiense (Play Offs) and 7 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Comercial PI could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match 4 de Julho is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
05.03.23	Altos - 4 de Julho	0:1 ✺
22.02.23	Corisabbá - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
15.02.23	Ríver PI - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	4 de Julho - Parnahyba	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTL
- Comercial PI
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
04.03.23	Comercial PI - Corisabbá	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Comercial PI - Altos	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Comercial PI	3:0 ✺
01.02.23	Comercial PI - Ríver PI	0:4 ✺
29.01.23	Corisabbá - Comercial PI	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
18.01.23	Comercial PI - 4 de Julho	0:1

4 de Julho - Comercial PI: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide