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Current Win Probability
Altos 56.1%
Draw 24.5%
4 de Julho 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
22.8%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
20.1%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.
4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 4 de Julho's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 4 de Julho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Altos - 4 de Julho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Dieguinho ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Felipe Sales ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Wesley Pratti ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Piauiense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
Altos is Qualified for Piauiense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Altos won 2.
Altos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Altos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Altos have a series of guest games.
In this match Altos is absolute favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Altos won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:15 (average 1.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).