Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	4 de Julho		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.7
	2.06	2.7	3.6
	2.13	2.63	3.8
	2.09	3	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.61)	2.8 ↓ (3.37)	3.66 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

4 de Julho
43.2%

Draw
32.2%

Tocantinópolis
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

27.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 4 de Julho's form might have worsened.

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tocantinópolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 4 de Julho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tocantinópolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

4 de Julho will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches 4 de Julho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams 4 de Julho won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
15.05.22	Fluminense Piaui - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	4 de Julho - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
30.04.22	4 de Julho - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:0 ✺
24.04.22	Moto Club de São Luís - 4 de Julho	3:0 ✺
17.04.22	4 de Julho - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLT
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
07.05.22	SE Juventude - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Tocantinópolis - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Fluminense Piaui - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.08.21	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:2
19.06.21	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	1:1

4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide