The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moto Club de São Luís 47.3%
Draw 29.1%
4 de Julho 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
30.6%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
31.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Moto Club de São Luís - 4 de Julho Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). 4 de Julho will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moto Club: 23.1% – 88.1%.
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Preview
Moto Club is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Moto Club is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.