The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ABB 54.3%
Draw 22.1%
Oriente Petrolero 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
23.9%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
23.8%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABB's performance.
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oriente Petrolero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABB than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABB that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriente Petrolero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
ABB - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. ABB will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cuellar J. (G) 55. Seimandi A. 21. Herrera J. 22. Reyes S. 75. Valda D. 30. Bejarano A. 3. Chumacero A. (C) 35. Guillermo A. 17. Perozo R. 11. Fajardo J. F. 7. Figueroa L.
1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 30. Berdecio J. 27. Alvarez S. 5. Mangala E. 4. Bonilla M. 11. Vaca L. 20. Lovera J. 88. Ursino L. (C) 90. Pena A. 10. Soni K. 91. Nacif N.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor F. 19. Camacho A. 5. Claure S. 6. Guillermo A. 34. Gutierrez D. 14. Jemio C. 10. Paniagua E. 2. Riasco J. 1. Riascos A. (G) 24. Rojas J. 16. Salazar M. 33. Zamora F.
2. Ariza A. 13. Bernal J. (G) 34. Cabrera Suarez L. 7. Flores J. 8. Otormin L. 16. Rea Mendieta G. 36. Reyes Rojas M. 42. Roca D. 31. Salas J. 28. Velasco J.
Coaches
Nunez S.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Valda D. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Mangala E. ⚽, Lovera J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Fajardo J. F. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Vaca L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nacif N. ↓, Reyes Rojas M. ↑,
57', Reyes S. ↓, Salazar M. ↑,
58', Fajardo J. F. ↓, Paniagua E. ↑,
59', Soni K. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
59', Bonilla M. ↓, Roca D. ↑,
68', Ursino L. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Paniagua E. (A),
76', Pena A. ↓, Rea Mendieta G. ↑,
76', Lovera J. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
79', Figueroa L. ↓, Zamora F. ↑,
79', Guillermo A. ↓, Camacho A. ↑,
79', Valda D. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Perozo R. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
90+3', Perozo R. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
ABB is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABB won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, ABB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.