The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ABB 36.1%
Draw 25.3%
Real Potosí 38.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.8%
26.4%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
26.3%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ABB - Real Potosí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cuellar J. (G) 75. Valda D. 2. Riasco J. 55. Seimandi A. 37. Preciado O. 30. Bejarano A. 7. Figueroa L. 3. Chumacero A. (C) 18. Rea Mendieta G. 40. Guillermo A. 11. Fajardo J. F.
1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 22. Supayabe F. 4. Villegas K. (C) 44. Severiche S. 19. Brito A. 77. Rojas J. 90. Gimenez L. 8. Cardenas I. 12. Condori B. 23. Ali L.
Substitutes
9. Briceno J. 19. Camacho A. 5. Claure S. 31. Espinoza B. 6. Guillermo A. 14. Jemio C. 42. La Fuente Z. 12. Paz S. (G) 17. Perozo R. 24. Rojas J. 16. Salazar M. 21. Vaca P.
30. Alipaz J. 10. Castellon V. 17. Cuellar D. 11. Gomez M. 41. Igor Soares 91. Plaza S. 18. Rivas J. 25. Sandy D. (G) 31. Terrazas R. 6. Thomas J. 14. Velasquez E.
Coaches
Flores W.
Umana G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Cardenas I. ⚽, Fernandez W. (A),
16', Valda D. 🟨,
45+3', Figueroa L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Riasco J. ↓, Briceno J. ↑,
46', Rea Mendieta G. ↓, Espinoza B. ↑,
47', Rea Mendieta G. 🟥,
51', Fernandez W. ↓, Cuellar D. ↑,
64', Fajardo J. F. ↓, Perozo R. ↑,
65', Ali L. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
65', Cardenas I. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
71', Bejarano A. 🟨,
73', Guillermo A. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
81', Rojas J. ↓, Terrazas R. ↑,
81', Gimenez L. ↓, Igor Soares ↑,
90+1', Preciado O. 🟥,
90+2', Seimandi A. 🟨,
90+3', Igor Soares 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 4th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
ABB is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real Potosí is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, ABB has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Real Potosí has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, ABB has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:9 (averaging 1.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ABB against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.