Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Aurora		ABB

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.50	15.00
	1.06	7.3	20	Watch
	1.07	7.5	12
	1.13	8.3	16	Watch
	1.07	6.7	18
	1.13	7.4	9.6	Watch
	1.07	8	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.4)	7.39 ↑ (4.67)	16.23 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
82.2%

Draw
12.2%

ABB
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.9%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.8%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ABB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ABB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aurora - ABB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.75 - Aurora (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terrazas J. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 16. Barro L. 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 69. Terrazas A. 14. Sanchez H. 20. Pacheco A. 90. Velazco M. 8. Viviani L. (C) 18. Ferreira S.	23. Delgadillo S. (G) 56. Eguino R. 13. Anez P. 51. Molina J. 40. Guillermo A. 6. Guillermo A. 36. Lauraiza Carrillo L. J. 20. Mollinedo I. 19. Camacho A. (C) 32. Condori E. 38. Daza V.
Substitutes
5. Amarilla A. 99. Barba Cortez M. (G) 6. Carrasco S. 15. Cordova J. 11. Mojica H. 93. Pierola J. 77. Pinedo F. 52. Reyes M. 25. Rios A. 30. Suarez S. 28. Vaca O. 26. Villca D.	60. Choque J. (G) 59. Choquevill R. 58. Flores M. 57. Gutierrez G. 64. Ilanque Y. 50. Molina N. 39. Veliz J.
Coaches
Diaz D.	Flores W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Velazco M. ⚽, Viviani L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Altamirano S. ↓, Amarilla A. ↑,
64', Pacheco A. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
64', Ortiz M. ↓, Vaca O. ↑,
67', Camacho A. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Viviani L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Camacho A. ↓, Veliz J. ↑,
73', Condori E. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
80', Terrazas A. ↓, Carrasco S. ↑,
80', Velazco M. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
85', Mollinedo I. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
90+2', Guillermo A. 🟨,
90+3', Lauraiza Carrillo L. J. ↓, Gutierrez G. ↑,
90+3', Daza V. ↓, Ilanque Y. ↑,

Preview

Aurora is Qualified for Copa Pacena (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Aurora holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2.7:1.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.10.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	1:1 ✺
29.09.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:2 ✺
25.09.26	ABB - Aurora	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Aurora - Universitario de Vinto	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.26	Guabirá - Aurora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWL
- Academia del Balompié Boliviano
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.10.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - ABB	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Real Potosí - ABB	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	ABB - Aurora	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Always Ready - ABB	1:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.09.26	ABB - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.09.26	ABB - Aurora	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.07.26	Aurora - ABB	3:2
15.12.25	Aurora - ABB	3:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.07.25	ABB - Aurora	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.07.25	ABB - Aurora	2:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.04.25	Aurora - ABB	2:1

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