Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Luiz Benedito (Ouvidor)


	ABECAT Ouvidorense		Operário MS

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.75	3.22
	2.40	2.65	3.42	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.29	2.79	3.26
	1.97	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABECAT Ouvidorense
40.2%

Draw
32.4%

Operário MS
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABECAT Ouvidorense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABECAT Ouvidorense's form might have worsened.

Operário MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABECAT Ouvidorense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABECAT Ouvidorense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ABECAT Ouvidorense - Operário MS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Marcos Vinicius ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Juliano ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

ABECAT will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ABECAT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.26	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - ABECAT Ouvidorense	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ivinhema - ABECAT Ouvidorense	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Ivinhema	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Operário MS - ABECAT Ouvidorense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT
- Operário MS
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Operário MS - Ivinhema	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Operário MS - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Uberlândia - Operário MS	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Capital CF Ltda - Operário MS	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Ivinhema - Operário MS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Operário MS - ABECAT Ouvidorense	1:1

ABECAT Ouvidorense - Operário MS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide