Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 21

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi) 🌤️ ...


	AC Carpi		Salsomaggiore

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.32	4.35	8.2
	1.4	3.93	6.95
	1.3	4.2	8
	1.28	4.95	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	4.41 ↓ (4.47)	7.6 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Carpi
67.7%

Draw
20.5%

Salsomaggiore
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

11.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for AC Carpi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Salsomaggiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (-30.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AC Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salsomaggiore than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salsomaggiore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AC Carpi - Salsomaggiore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salsomaggiore has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Carpi is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.01.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	AC Carpi - Corticella	0:2 ✺
18.12.22	United Riccione - AC Carpi	5:1 ✺
11.12.22	AC Carpi - Ravenna	2:4 ✺
04.12.22	Crema - AC Carpi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Salsomaggiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.01.23	Salsomaggiore - Forlì	0:3 ✺
22.12.22	Salsomaggiore - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Scandicci - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Salsomaggiore - Corticella	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Cremonese - Salsomaggiore	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL

AC Carpi - Salsomaggiore

Match Info

Current Win Probability

AC Carpi - Salsomaggiore Predictions

Preview

Form

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