Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Salsomaggiore		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.9	1.55
	6	3.7	1.5
	4.55	3.8	1.49
	5.25	3.7	1.5
	5.45	4.25	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (3.37)	3.87 ↑ (3)	1.5 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salsomaggiore
17.3%

Draw
23.1%

Sammaurese
59.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.1%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

28.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salsomaggiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salsomaggiore's form might have worsened.

Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sammaurese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salsomaggiore than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salsomaggiore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sammaurese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	9.7%	80.6%

Salsomaggiore - Sammaurese Predictions

Users Predictions: Sammaurese will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Salsomaggiore has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sammaurese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sammaurese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sammaurese is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sammaurese to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salsomaggiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.22	Scandicci - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Salsomaggiore - Corticella	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Cremonese - Salsomaggiore	6:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Correggese - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Salsomaggiore - Real Forte Querceta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.22	Sammaurese - Forlì	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Lentigione - Sammaurese	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Sammaurese - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	SantAngelo - Sammaurese	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Sammaurese - United Riccione	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW

Salsomaggiore - Sammaurese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Salsomaggiore - Sammaurese Predictions

Preview

Form

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