The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AC Libertas 20.8%
Draw 26.6%
Folgore 52.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.5%
23.7%
57.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
23.1%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folgore might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AC Libertas - Folgore Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Pancotti S. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Pancotti S. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 1 - 2, Socciarelli M. ⚽, Greco N. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 0.
In recent outings, AC Libertas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Folgore is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this matchup, Folgore is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, AC Libertas has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:24 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AC Libertas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
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