The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pennarossa 9.7%
Draw 18.5%
Folgore 71.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13%
19.7%
67.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
19%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Pennarossa - Folgore Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Raschi J. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Raschi J. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Pintore M. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, De Angelis M. (Own goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Folgore is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
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